Southern Utah
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
13  Nate Jewkes SR 31:11
95  Hayden Hawks JR 31:50
165  Mike Tate SO 32:03
384  Ibrahim Ahmed SO 32:39
580  Shinano Miyazawa SO 32:59
589  Istvan Szogi FR 33:00
614  Skylar Riggs JR 33:03
617  Dylan Marx SR 33:03
654  Clinton Rhoton SR 33:06
735  Matt Wright FR 33:14
828  Keeghan Hurley FR 33:24
National Rank #29 of 311
Mountain Region Rank #6 of 18
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 89.1%
Most Likely Finish 25th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 22.9%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 44.2%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Nate Jewkes Hayden Hawks Mike Tate Ibrahim Ahmed Shinano Miyazawa Istvan Szogi Skylar Riggs Dylan Marx Clinton Rhoton Matt Wright Keeghan Hurley
Roy Griak Invitational 09/27 434 30:47 32:19 31:30 32:08 32:43 31:48 32:50 32:41 33:33
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/03 617 31:25 31:48 32:11 32:37 32:43 33:11 32:28
Color County Invitational 10/10 1084 33:30 33:27 32:55 33:07 33:06
ISU Pre-National Invitational (Blue Race) 10/18 1036 32:54 32:50 32:42 33:22 33:33
Big Sky Conference Championships 11/01 740 31:42 31:54 32:13 33:10 33:20 33:11 33:02 34:05
Mountain Region Championships 11/14 527 31:09 31:14 31:56 32:29 33:18 33:23 32:39
NCAA Championship 11/22 684 30:58 32:00 32:12 32:54 33:46 33:11 34:50





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 89.1% 23.5 570 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.3 1.5 2.7 3.0 3.2 4.3 4.7 5.4 6.0 6.8 7.1 7.7 7.5 6.8 6.0 5.7 4.5 2.8
Region Championship 100% 5.6 162 0.2 2.0 12.1 30.0 40.1 10.7 3.7 1.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Jewkes 99.0% 18.1 1.3 2.6 3.0 3.4 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.1 3.3 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.9 2.0 2.6 2.3 2.2 1.9 2.1 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7
Hayden Hawks 90.4% 93.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Mike Tate 89.2% 127.4 0.0 0.0
Ibrahim Ahmed 89.1% 207.7
Shinano Miyazawa 89.1% 233.1
Istvan Szogi 89.1% 233.9
Skylar Riggs 89.1% 235.6


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Jewkes 5.8 6.4 9.0 9.7 9.2 9.0 8.4 8.1 6.6 5.1 4.7 4.1 2.8 2.1 1.8 1.6 1.8 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Hayden Hawks 21.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.8 2.3 3.0 3.0 4.0 4.1 4.4 4.2 3.8 4.2 4.1 3.9 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.1 3.0
Mike Tate 28.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.8 1.9 2.2 2.7 3.0 3.3 3.2 3.0 3.3 3.2 3.8
Ibrahim Ahmed 46.6 0.0 0.1
Shinano Miyazawa 57.4
Istvan Szogi 57.8
Skylar Riggs 59.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.2% 100.0% 0.2 0.2 2
3 2.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0 3
4 12.1% 99.5% 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.8 2.3 2.5 2.3 1.7 1.6 0.1 0.1 12.1 4
5 30.0% 95.9% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.5 2.4 6.1 6.9 5.9 4.2 1.0 1.2 28.7 5
6 40.1% 93.5% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 5.1 7.4 8.2 7.3 5.5 2.8 2.6 37.5 6
7 10.7% 79.7% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 1.7 2.3 1.9 1.3 2.2 8.5 7
8 3.7% 2.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.6 0.1 8
9 1.2% 1.2 9
10 0.0% 0.0 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
Total 100% 89.1% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.2 3.5 10.4 17.4 19.4 17.5 13.4 5.2 10.9 0.2 88.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 91.6% 1.0 0.9
Michigan State 90.5% 1.0 0.9
Colorado St. 83.9% 2.0 1.7
North Carolina 70.4% 1.0 0.7
Iowa State 42.0% 1.0 0.4
Minnesota 35.0% 1.0 0.4
Tulsa 27.3% 1.0 0.3
Princeton 14.7% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 11.6% 1.0 0.1
Illinois 7.6% 1.0 0.1
Penn State 6.9% 1.0 0.1
Eastern Michigan 1.8% 1.0 0.0
Texas-Arlington 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Penn 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Bradley 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 5.7
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 10.0